Research Report 3 John Keess

Canada’s Long-Term Strategic Situation

Issue 3 | Published July 2025 | Peter Gizewski, Michael A. Rostek

In March 1962, Dr. R.J. Sutherland, a little-known defence scientist and policy advisor from the Defence Research Board (DRB), gave a closed-door talk at the Canadian Institute of International Affairs (CIIA). Sutherland had been recruited by CIIA President John Holmes to provide members with “an appreciation of how important Canada may be from a military point of view in the nuclear age,” - a limited, if important topic in the rapidly-changing conditions of the early 1960s. The speaker found the question a bit limiting, but promised not to “fight the problem,” even if he might “interpret the topic a little.” Over the next hour, Sutherland went much further than a little interpretation and drew on his decades of study in history, technology, politics, and economics to imagine some possible scenarios for Canada’s world position in the year 2000.

 

Read the Article

Research Report 2

Deterrence Through Whole-of-Society Resilience – Meeting the Challenge of Hybrid Threats in the Grey Zone

Issue 2 | Published July 2025 | Peter Gizewski, Michael A. Rostek

Developments in the international system underline the fact that the world remains unpredictable, dangerous and complex. Adding to such complexity is the conduct of hybrid activities in the grey zone. Existing just below the threshold of armed conflict, hybrid activities involve coordinated application of diplomatic, informational, cyber, military and economic instruments to achieve strategic or operational objectives. They pose significant challenges confounding binary conceptions of peace and war, the use of military and non-military means, and conventional and irregular approaches to conflict.  Whole-of society approaches to resilience are advanced for strengthening deterrence as well as societal defence against hybrid threats.

 

Read the Article

Research Report 1

The Populist Disruption: Trump and Contemporary American Civil-Military Relations

Issue 1 | Published April 2025 | Philip T. Gebert

President Donald J. Trump’s first term in office from 2017 to 2021 disrupted the United States’ (U.S.) civil-military relations (CMR) which developed following the Second World War. The Trump administration increasingly applied and abused subjective control of the military, undermining its traditionally non-partisan role and attempted to transform it into a praetorian guard loyal to the President rather than the Constitution or the state. Despite this violation of traditional CMR, the President’s supporters – particularly those within the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, who profess a deep reverence of the American military – endorsed his manipulation of the institution for personal and political gain. This effort culminated in the President’s botched self-coup following his defeat in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, during which the military refused to assist in his unlawful attempt to maintain power. The election of President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. ended this disruption and restored CMR to the pre-Trump status quo, albeit temporarily.

 

Read the Article